Discussion
This study examined changes in sleep duration, sleep timing, and regularity in 163,524 Fitbit users in 6 major US cities: New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, San Francisco, and Miami from January through April, 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic, with additional analyses in May and June, 2020. The overall results of these analyses show that over the course of the pandemic, adults experienced changes in sleep—especially duration and timing.
Trajectories of sleep differed significantly from those seen in 2018 or 2019, suggesting that the pandemic had an influence on sleep patterns. Differences between 2020 and both 2018 and 2019 were evident for sleep duration, variability, and timing, suggesting that the values obtained in this study uniquely reflect the pandemic and not historical trends. Similarly, Ong and colleagues found similar patterns in Singaporean adults—that sleep duration, variability and timing differed in the early parts of 2020, compared to historical values.
14Ong JL, Lau TY, Massar SAA, et al. COVID-19 related mobility reduction: heterogeneous effects on sleep and physical activity rhythms. Archiv. 2020:2006.02100 [q-bio.QM]. In press.
Unlike the Ong and colleagues, study, the present data evaluates relative to norms, and not the same individuals. Despite this, the fact that the findings were similar to the other study, which used data from the same individuals, suggests that these deviations are valid.
Overall, sleep duration increased in the US population. These results reflect a change from 2018 and 2019—in the first half of 2019, sleep durations gradually declined, yet in 2020, sleep duration increased from January through the assessment period. Of note, the average increase in sleep time depended on age and gender. Women experienced more of an increase in sleep duration during the pandemic than men, with the largest change seen in the younger adults (12 minutes in women and 8 minutes in men). This is in relation to 2019 values, which saw reductions in sleep time of 11 and 8 minutes for those groups, respectively. Thus, not only was the pandemic associated with increased sleep time, this increase was in contrast to these same months in 2019 when there was a net decrease in sleep time, and the increase seen in 2020 was most profound among younger adults, and especially among women. Sleep duration is increasingly recognized as a key indicator of health, and even modest increases in sleep duration may be meaningful and have physiologic benefits.
Bedtime variability (reflecting decreased weekday-weekend discrepancy) decreased during the pandemic. These also reflect a significant change from 2018 and 2019, where this decrease in variability was not seen. For example, in 2019, bedtime and bedtime variability did not change by more than 1-2 minutes during these months; yet, in 2020, bedtime was delayed by about 25 minutes in the younger adults, 17-20 minutes in adults age 30-49, and 9-10 minutes in men and about 12 minutes in women 50 or older. Decreased sleep variability is associated with improved health outcomes. Another possible explanation for the reduction in sleep variability during the pandemic is that changes to daytime and/or nocturnal social activities (eg, closed bars and restaurants, canceled events) may have contributed to the changes in sleep variability.
Comparisons to previous years of historical data are limited in that each comparison includes different individuals, rather than the same individual longitudinally. Although this is somewhat mitigated by the large, random sample and the similarity between 2018 and 2019 despite clear differences to 2020, results that compare such samples need to be interpreted with appropriate caution. Therefore, it is possible that the differences between 2020 and previous years reflect differences in the sample, and not historical changes in sleep-related behavior. Future studies that have such within-person, longitudinal data would be helpful to replicate these findings.
Resting heart rate, as estimated by the Fitbit devices, decreased across the pandemic. Despite the social and environmental stresses prevalent during this time, these results suggest that the decrease in RHR may be due to appreciable increases in both sleep duration and physical activity. As sleep and activity increased, RHR decreased. Previous studies have linked changes in sleep schedules to RHR, supporting the results of this study.
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The results showing relationships to RHR, in the context of relatively small changes to heart rate and sleep, may still be important for several reasons. First, these results serve to identify an objective health metric obtained at the population level that is systematically associated with even small changes in sleep-related behavior. This is, itself, an important finding; very few studies have been able to use such a big-data approach to demonstrate associations between sleep and any objective health metric at the population level. Second, changes in sleep may be reflecting changes in physiologic stress, which could be partially captured using RHR
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and this may add a mechanistic dimension to the discussion that, although tenuous, allows for further exploration. Third, showing that the changes in sleep were associated with changes in RHR helps to validate the physiologic impact of sleep changes by showing that they were related to changes in another system. Fourth, even very small changes in RHR at the population level may have significant impacts on population-level morbidity.
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During the pandemic, sleep duration increased on average and across age and gender groups, but this change was most visible in the youngest adults, who also experienced the greatest delay in bedtime. This is in line with the extensive data on school start times for adolescents and chronotype data for young adults.
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It suggests that younger adults may be living under increased circadian pressure to advance their sleep period in order to conform to social norms and work schedules. Yet, when the opportunity was presented, they went to bed later but slept more.
Another finding from this analysis is that when given the opportunity, the difference between weekdays and weekends becomes smaller. This is consistent with the Ong and colleagues, study in Singapore.
14Ong JL, Lau TY, Massar SAA, et al. COVID-19 related mobility reduction: heterogeneous effects on sleep and physical activity rhythms. Archiv. 2020:2006.02100 [q-bio.QM]. In press.
Bedtime and sleep duration variability both decreased over the course of the pandemic, suggesting that individuals were more in control of their sleep patterns on average and required less of a discrepancy between weekday and weekend.
The observed magnitude of effects in the range of 10-12 likely represents a true difference. Although some previous studies found that older versions of wearables routinely differed from PSG by more than this amount (thereby leaving this amount of time within the margin of error), recent studies using the technology employed in this study found that, on average, the Fitbit device overestimated sleep by approximately 2.6 minutes vs polysomnography.
10Chinoy ED, Cuellar JA, Huwa KE, et al. Performance of seven consumer sleep-tracking devices compared with polysomnography. Sleep. In press.
Therefore, it is likely that this difference does, in fact reflect, a meaningful change. It is still possible, however, that a fluctuation of this magnitude simply reflects normal night-to-night measurement error. Unfortunately, no previous literature quantifies how much of a change this would be. Furthermore, many previous studies of wearable technology to detect sleep over time (eg, actigraphy studies) report changes in sleep duration around this magnitude and these effects have demonstrated utility whether or not measurement error exists in those devices as well. Finally, this study does not describe single-device changes in sleep duration, but rather sample-wide, systematic changes. Therefore, although any small effects observed using data collected by imperfect measures in large samples should be interpreted with appropriate caution, the findings in this study likely reflect meaningful changes rather than just measurement error.
Another important finding in this study is the documentation of changes to sleep as the stay-at-home orders have been lifted. These data show that from April to June, sleep patterns have somewhat reverted to pre-pandemic values. Of note, sleep duration in both May and June are still greater than that seen in prior years, reflecting a relative increase, but this difference is shrinking. It should be noted, though, that stay-at-home orders and other restrictions were variably enacted and/or enforced across these 6 cities. Therefore, externalities may have differentially impacted sleep-related behavioral patterns across the months of analysis. The interpretability of these results in the context of stay-at-home orders is limited, since these orders were variably initiated, followed, and/or enforced across all of these different locales, during this time period. In addition, some orders were geographically bound (eg, city limits only) even though users may or may not be living within those geographical bounds. Because of this, data are unavailable as to whether individuals were subject to or followed any such orders specifically.
The research landscape describing relationships between sleep-related parameters and aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic is rapidly evolving. Wright and colleagues showed that among young adults, there was a systematic phase delay of the sleep period.
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In addition, this study showed that there was a systematic increase in sleep duration moderated by baseline time in bed, such that those who spent the least amount of time in bed before the pandemic showed the greatest increase in sleep duration during the pandemic. A study by Ong and colleagues in Singapore also showed a general increase in sleep duration, as well as a decrease in the difference between weekday and weekend sleep (as work schedules were impacted).
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Lee and colleagues tracked sleep duration changes across 17 countries and showed that most showed a small but statistically significant increase in sleep duration of around 5-15 minutes.
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Blume and colleagues also showed a general slight increase in sleep duration in Europe, accompanied by a reduction in social jetlag.
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Several studies have explored relationships between sleep and pandemic-related mental health and stress. Pesonen and colleagues
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showed that those with the greatest increases in stress experiences during the pandemic experienced the greatest degree of pandemic-related shortened sleep duration, prolonged sleep latency, increased nightly awakenings, disturbed circadian rhythms, and increased nightmares. Kocevska and colleagues showed that there was an interaction between baseline sleep and sleep changes on pandemic-related mental health problems.
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They showed that the strongest relationship between worsening mental health and worsening sleep was among those who were good sleepers at the outset of the pandemic, suggesting that the general population may be at increased risk due to a lack of floor/ceiling effects. Bigalke and colleagues also showed that those who perceived overall worse sleep quality as a result of the pandemic reported worse insomnia scores and higher levels of stress.
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This is consistent with work by Killgore and colleagues, showing that the relationship between COVID-related stress and suicide ideation was mediated by insomnia symptoms.
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Other health issues have been implicated as well. Werneck and colleagues have shown that there is an overlap between worsening sleep as a result of the pandemic and increased behavioral health risk factors, including television-watching, physical inactivity, and high computer/tablet use.
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Further, a study in Italy showed that COVID patients with sleep apnea were 65% more likely to require hospitalization and 98% more likely to experience respiratory failure.
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This study had some important limitations. First, although Fitbit devices have been relatively well-validated to detect sleep relative to polysomnography and actigraphy, the accuracy of these devices in these real-world settings is still not completely clear. Another potential issue is the reliance on bed and wake time detection using the Fitbit device. This detection strategy has not been empirically validated and may misestimate time in and out of bed. Second, these data were not supplemented by subjective measures like sleep diaries, so insomnia was not well-characterized. Third, limited demographic data besides age, gender, and city of residence were available; this precludes analysis of sleep health disparities. Fourth, it is not known whether any of these individuals experienced major stressors such as job loss or contracting COVID during this period. Fifth, as this reflects a natural experiment, it is not clear which aspects of the pandemic had an influence on which aspects of sleep experience. Finally, it is unclear whether the differences observed in the present study reflect changes that would be evident with other sleep assessment modalities, such as polysomnography and/or sleep diary. The inclusion of estimates of variance should help assuage concerns regarding whether specific point estimates are made with confidence. By displaying means and standard deviations and showing that the standard deviations are usually quite small, it is probably safe to conclude that the estimates are reliable within the constraints of the study. Because this is largely a descriptive study that lacks assessment of many potential confounders or other explanatory variables, it is possible that these unmeasured factors play important roles in the relationships observed.
In conclusion, this study found that during the COVID-19 pandemic, sleep duration increased slightly and bedtime was delayed (especially among younger adults and women), bedtime and sleep variability reduced (reflecting decreased weekday-weekend discrepancy, and resting heart rate decreased (possibly due to increased sleep and physical activity). Despite limitations, this study represents one of the largest and most representative, objective analyses of sleep in general, as well as during the COVID-19 pandemic. These results provide important information about sleep and health during the COVID-19 pandemic and point to many future research questions. Future studies will be needed to examine additional sociodemographic and socioeconomic influences on sleep changes, relationships to other health outcomes, and the role of mental health. It is possible that these results might also be useful to those examining population sleep health, such as sleep and schedules among young adults, the role of sleep in impacting population cardiometabolic health, the role of technology in surveillance of sleep stage data, and other work.